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Weighing the Risks of Unintended Consequences in the U.S.-China Trade War Video: Trump The Western Media Silence About the War in Yemen Video: Who is Mexico China is Winning the Propaganda War on Taiwan Video: Hilary Benn Scorns UK Government Iran Nuclear Deal: Tehran Looks to Mitigate Effects of US Withdrawal Africa Rising? An Economic Analysis of the CFTA How to Prevent Further Rifts Between the US and Turkey in Syria Kabila and the DRC: A Perfect Storm of Problems Saudi Arabia in Transition: Mohammed bin Salman and Vision 2030 Why the U.S. Should Rethink Military Support for Ukraine
 
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Weighing the Risks of Unintended Consequences in the U.S.-China Trade War

The opening shots in the “trade war” between Washington and Beijing have raised concerns around the whole world, causing a heated debate about the logic of the Trump Administration’s policy against China. While most analysis has focussed on the economic effects of the trade war, less discussed has been the dispute’s impact on other areas […]

Video: Trump’s Immigration Policy Assessed

Video: Trump’s Immigration Policy Assessed

While both sides of the aisle, with some exceptions, have vehemently protested Trump’s ‘No Tolerance’ border immigration policy, which has resulted in the separation of thousands of families, the practical and policy consequences have been unprecedented. From executive orders to ultimatums from federal judges, the discourse in DC often overlooks events ‘on the ground’. This video by […]

Video: What US and UK media won’t tell you about the war in Yemen

The Western Media Silence About the War in Yemen

Over 10,000 people have died in the war in Yemen, which has entered its fourth year, and about 80 percent of the population is in need of humanitarian aid. Despite the gravity of the situation, Yemen’s conflict, which has been described as the “forgotten war” by Amnesty International, receives very little media coverage. Western news […]

Video: Who is Mexico’s New President?

Video: Who is Mexico’s New President?

Mexico’s new president is a brash, politically ambiguous populist who draws many comparisons to Donald Trump. BBC News has five things you need to know about the man who will be engaging with the American leader on some of North America’s most pressing issues. Source: BBC News.

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China is Winning the Propaganda War on Taiwan

Last month, two more countries broke away from the fast dwindling assortment of diplomatic allies that officially recognise Taiwan as a sovereign state. The political volte-face in May by the Dominican Republic and Burkina Faso in favour of closer ties with Beijing follows a long trend of diplomatic shifts that leave Taiwan increasingly isolated on the […]

Video: Hilary Benn Scorns UK Government’s Brexit Strategy

Video: Hilary Benn Scorns UK Government’s Brexit Strategy

Hilary Benn MP, Chair of the Commons Brexit committee, has always been a great performer in Parliament. Here, he lays into the UK Government’s Brexit strategy, likening it to disembarking from a liner into a lifeboat in the middle of the ocean.        

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Iran Nuclear Deal: Tehran Looks to Mitigate Effects of US Withdrawal

The withdrawal of the Trump Administration from the Iran nuclear deal was a long time coming. Concluded in 2015 after months of negotiations between Iran and the P5+1 countries (United States, France, United Kingdom, Russia, China and Germany), the agreement seemingly provided a win-win outcome both in terms of the international community’s desire to rein […]

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Africa Rising? An Economic Analysis of the CFTA

Following two years of negotiations, a historic agreement that formally establishes the African Continental Free Trade Area (CFTA) was signed on 21 March 2018 by representatives of 44 member states of the African Union in the Rwandan capital. Once adopted, greater market integration on the continent will follow. Global competition is fierce and African nations […]

By U.S. Department of State from United States [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

How to Prevent Further Rifts Between the US and Turkey in Syria

By U.S. Department of State from United States [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons Authors: Dr Simon A. Waldman is a Mercator-IPC fellow at the Istanbul Policy Center and a visiting research fellow at King’s College London. Engin Onuk is an intern at the İstanbul Policy Center and a masters student in the International Relations Department in İstanbul […]

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Kabila and the DRC: A Perfect Storm of Problems

The UN Under-Sectretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs, Mark Lowcock, visited the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) this week for the first time. Following meetings with internally displaced persons, Lowcock underscored that the DRC is the site of one of the most devastating humanitarian crises in the world today. A year after his term ended, Congolese […]

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Saudi Arabia in Transition: Mohammed bin Salman and Vision 2030

A new country is gradually emerging from the desert terrain of Saudi Arabia. Mohammed bin Salman, or MBS as the Crown Prince is commonly known, is at the helm. At 32 years of age, Mohammed bin Salman is the youngest minister of defence in the world, and is offering an ambitious programme of economic, religious, […]

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Why the U.S. Should Rethink Military Support for Ukraine

University of Nottingham (Ningbo Campus) Assistant Professor Nicholas Ross Smith argues that while arming Ukraine may be the right thing to do, it naively underestimates the geopolitical reality of Eastern Europe and could result in a far worse outcome for both Ukraine and Europe. Donald Trump’s recent decision to approve the sale of more lethal arms […]

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How to Make PPPs Work for Global Health

September 23, 2017

Earlier this month, French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi Pasteur announced that it was pulling the plug on its partnership with the US Army to develop two promising new Zika vaccines. A Sanofi representative said they could not continue due to, firstly, a decline in infection rates which reduced the number of people available for clinical trials, and, secondly, […]

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Posted in Africa, Latin America, World

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Reviving Islamic Epistemology as a Solution to Jihadi Terrorism

September 20, 2017

I do not pretend to have a silver bullet solution to the problem of Islamic terrorism. A successful strategy against Islamic terrorist organisations would encompass a re-organisation of geopolitical alliances in the Middle East, effective military actions, and socio-economic changes (fairer distribution of resources, better education, etc.) in the majority of Muslim nations. On the […]

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Posted in Conflict, Iran, Iraq, Islam, Middle East, Religion, Saudi Arabia, Security Issues, Terrorism, World

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The Tories Have a Trust Problem as Well as a Policy Problem

September 16, 2017

“You can’t trust the Tories”. It’s definitely a phrase you’ll have heard somewhere, even if it is just in the Facebook comments of some politically charged post about new government regulations or the sale of NHS property. It isn’t a new concept either, the name “the nasty party” has been around longer than I have […]

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Posted in UK News, World

By OSeveno - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0

In Pursuit of Accountability for War Crimes in Iraq

September 14, 2017

What comes next as British Government targets lawyers and closes investigative body? By Thomas Obel Hansen This Article is based on research conducted under a British Academy grant involving interviews with relevant stakeholders. A more comprehensive academic article addressing the same topics is scheduled for publication later this year.  An examination opened by the International […]

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Posted in Conflict, Iraq, Terrorism, UK News, World

An Iraqi-Kurdish Conflict Casts Doubt on the “Shia Crescent” Theory

September 9, 2017

An alliance between Kurdish leftists and Iraqi militias shows why it’s dangerous to overestimate Iran’s role in the so-called “Shia crescent.” In light of the breakdown of state structures in Iraq and Syria, it’s tempting to try to build narratives that portray entire ethnic groups or sects as pawns of great powers like Iran, as […]

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Posted in Conflict, Iran, Iraq, Islam, Middle East, Religion, Security Issues, Syria, Terrorism, Turkey, World

The Narva River separates Hermann Castle (left) in Estonia from Ivangorod Fortress in Russia

Rethinking the Spectre of Russian Intervention in the Baltic States

August 24, 2017

The baltic states responding to the threat posed by a resurgent Russia is understandable, but the nature of this threat and the means to reduce it need to be re-examined. From 2014 onwards, Western commentators covering Russian aggression in the former Soviet space have repeatedly issued stark warnings of a potential threat to the Baltic […]

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Posted in Europe, Russia, Security Issues, World

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The Economics of Catalan Secession from Spain

August 4, 2017

Image by David Tubau (Energético) One year on from the Brexit vote, Europe’s economy faces yet another monumental challenge in the shape of the Catalan independence referendum. There are doubts as to whether the referendum will go ahead; a referendum on independence was held in 2014, but after the Spanish constitutional court annulled it, the […]

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Posted in Economic Security, Economics, European Union, Global Economy, World

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The Paris Agreement: Thinking Long-Term About US Power and Wealth

July 9, 2017

US President Donald Trump’s decision to pull the country out of the Paris climate agreement may eventually end in a U-turn. After all, unpredictability has by far been Trump’s favourite foreign policy strategy. Yet should this one promise be kept its implications for global cooperation on climate change would be catastrophic. In the long term, […]

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Posted in Global Economy, US, World

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Qatar’s Actions Destabilize Bahrain and Gulf Region

July 5, 2017

Grievances between Qatar and much of the rest of Middle East go back decades and help explain the schism that burst into the open recently and led to the widespread boycott of Qatar. Take the case of bad blood between Bahrain and Qatar. Bahrain is still angered over Qatar’s attempts to use its vast funds […]

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Posted in Conflict, Middle East, Saudi Arabia, World

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Angola’s August Elections Come Under Scrutiny After Journalist Arrests

July 1, 2017

Rumblings are rife in Angola that something is afoot at the highest reaches of government. What may be in the offing? Everything from a top-level government shakeup to a full-fledged coup have been talked about. To keen observers of politics and conflict, it would not be surprising if people in power took sudden actions to […]

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Posted in Africa, corruption, Political Security, World

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From Terror to Deliberation

June 23, 2017

The United Kingdom has been shaken by four terror attacks in three months. Three were carried out by ISIS supporters and the latest was the result of anti-Muslim sentiments. These attacks follow a number of jihadi attacks in other European countries: France, Belgium, Germany and Sweden. The recurrence of these events (and often their low-tech […]

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Posted in Europe, Islam, Religion, Security Issues, Terrorism, World

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The End of Truth

June 8, 2017

Truth and Democracy have always had a troubled relationship, but perhaps never as troubled as now. From Plato’s Noble Lie to Kellyanne Conway’s Alternative Facts, there has always been a tension between the presentation of an objective truth and the exercise of political power. Michael Ignatieff, himself an academic turned not particularly successful politician, mused […]

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Posted in Europe, US, World

President Jacob Zuma speaks at the Unveiling of the Tombstone of the late H.E Bavumile Vilakazi held at Vanderbijlpark, Ekurhuleni.South Africa. 06/08/2011

What South Africa’s ANC Can Learn from the Demise of India’s Congress Party

June 5, 2017

Feeble economic growth, allegations of kleptocracy, and the controversial sacking of not one, but two Finance Ministers, headline South Africa President Jacob Zuma’s second term. In its most recent forecast, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts the country’s economy to grow at 0.8 percent this year. While the IMF’s report expects poor growth across the […]

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Posted in Africa, corruption, Economics, Global Economy, India, World

Not Your Grandfather’s Battlefield: Artificial Intelligence and the Military

May 29, 2017

The US military is on the cusp of a fundamental transformation in how it operates on the battlefield due, in large part, to advances in artificial intelligence (AI).   Although the use of AI by the military has drawn criticism — based mostly on concerns over robots potentially making life and death decisions — over the […]

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Posted in Security Issues, Technology, World

Image by Adriano Aurelio Araujo.

Macron’s New Cabinet Heralds Revival of a European Defence

May 22, 2017

With the recent nomination of his government, President Macron takes a chance to rejuvenate the idea of a European defence, an ambitious plan that collapsed when it failed to obtain the ratification in the French Parliament back in 1954. The European Defence Community emerged from the Pleven plan, proposed in 1950 by the French Prime […]

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Posted in Europe, European Union, France, World

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Green Politics in the Age of Populism

May 19, 2017

Who will provide strong and stable leadership on the environment? Following May’s shock election announcement there has only been one issue on the agenda for both the media and political parties themselves: Brexit. One worrying effect of our preoccupation with constitutional issues is that green politics have been ignored. Despite Green Party gains in the […]

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Posted in Environmental Security, World

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Getting the Facts Straight About Iran

May 16, 2017

Critics of Iran Thus far, the Trump administration has adopted a harsher stance towards Iran than the Obama Administration. In a recent press statement, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson reiterated the common statement that “Iran remains a leading state sponsor of terror”. More recently in Astana, the agreement between Russia, Turkey, and Iran to create […]

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Posted in Iran, Israeli Palestinian Conflict, Middle East, Political Security, Saudi Arabia, Terrorism, World

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America’s Allies in Eurasia Face a Common Foe in Russia

May 12, 2017

By Eugen Iladi It’s no secret that Russia is using military means and disinformation to try to reassemble its Soviet Union footprint. Ukraine has drawn the most headlines in this effort. But the Kremlin has long been working its land-grab plan in Georgia, Moldova and Azerbaijan. Russia’s economic failure and social challenges in the 21st […]

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Posted in Conflict, Europe, Political Security, Russia, Ukraine Conflict, US, World

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The Problem with Polling

May 9, 2017

By Daniel Shaw and Claire Elliott Political polls are making a fast comeback after failing to correctly predict either Brexit or the election of Donald Trump.  Following the highpoint of Nate Silver’s flawless prediction of Obama’s 2008 victory, these embarrassing failures blew up in the face of both polling companies and liberal orthodoxy.  These failures were […]

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Posted in Europe, UK News, US, World

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Assessing the Impact of Independence On Scottish Agriculture

May 8, 2017

The UK’s vote last year to leave the EU has resulted in Scotland once again re-evaluating whether or not independence would be in its best interests. The Brexit decision and the subsequent triggering of Article 50 have both generated significant political upheaval throughout the UK. In a recent speech, Nicola Sturgeon has added to that turmoil […]

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Posted in Economic Security, Food Security, Scottish Independence, UK News, World

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